Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.021567 0.023271 0.025047 0.027037 0.029205 0.031498 0.034110
2025-11-16 0.018492 0.020898 0.023536 0.026650 0.030233 0.034236 0.039060
2025-11-23 0.016628 0.019444 0.022653 0.026593 0.031316 0.036820 0.043749
2025-11-30 0.015167 0.018228 0.021825 0.026383 0.032036 0.038854 0.047756
2025-12-07 0.014038 0.017269 0.021166 0.026242 0.032722 0.040776 0.051636
2025-12-14 0.013069 0.016409 0.020531 0.026030 0.033235 0.042435 0.055200
2025-12-21 0.012354 0.015803 0.020149 0.026079 0.034034 0.044448 0.059293
2025-12-28 0.011646 0.015149 0.019648 0.025912 0.034500 0.046003 0.062812
2026-01-04 0.011067 0.014623 0.019272 0.025866 0.035097 0.047730 0.066631
2026-01-11 0.010603 0.014218 0.019025 0.025967 0.035876 0.049722 0.070913
2026-01-18 0.010161 0.013815 0.018750 0.025999 0.036539 0.051560 0.075050
2026-01-25 0.009790 0.013487 0.018556 0.026123 0.037323 0.053590 0.079571
2026-02-01 0.009236 0.012891 0.017979 0.025697 0.037325 0.054543 0.082630
2026-02-08 0.008713 0.012317 0.017405 0.025247 0.037270 0.055409 0.085626
2026-02-15 0.008344 0.011945 0.017103 0.025180 0.037781 0.057154 0.090118
2026-02-22 0.007968 0.011542 0.016733 0.024981 0.038063 0.058542 0.094099
2026-03-01 0.007638 0.011192 0.016419 0.024847 0.038432 0.060071 0.098394
2026-03-08 0.007316 0.010836 0.016079 0.024648 0.038674 0.061395 0.102408
2026-03-15 0.007076 0.010594 0.015901 0.024693 0.039309 0.063390 0.107705
2026-03-22 0.006804 0.010290 0.015609 0.024536 0.039592 0.064798 0.112038
2026-03-29 0.006576 0.010043 0.015396 0.024494 0.040059 0.066535 0.117069
2026-04-05 0.006392 0.009859 0.015271 0.024589 0.040761 0.068709 0.123042
2026-04-12 0.006205 0.009660 0.015115 0.024619 0.041346 0.070702 0.128798